IRAN threatened on Tuesday to take action if the US Navy moves an aircraft carrier back into the Gulf. This is Tehran’s most aggressive statement yet, as new US and EU financial sanctions begin to take a toll on its economy.
The prospect of sanctions targeting the oil sector in a serious way for the first time has hit Iran’s rial currency, which has fallen by 40 percent against the dollar in the past month.
Queues formed at banks and some currency exchange offices shut their doors as better off Iranians scrambled to buy dollars to try to protect their savings from the currency’s fall.
Army chief Ataollah Saleh said the United States had moved an aircraft carrier out of the Gulf because of Iran’s naval exercises, and Iran would take action if the ship returned.
It did not name the carrier, but the USS John C Stennis leads a task force in the region, and the US Navy’s 5th Fleet website pictured it in the Arabian Sea last week.
‘Iran will not repeat its warning . . . the enemy’s carrier has been moved to the Sea of Oman because of our drill. I recommend and emphasise to the American carrier not to return to the Persian Gulf,’ army chief Salehi said.
‘I advise, recommend and warn them over the return of this carrier to the Persian Gulf because we are not in the habit of warning more than once.’
Lieutenant Rebecca Rebarich, spokeswoman for the US 5th Fleet based in Bahrain, said she was not immediately able to respond.
Tehran’s warning comes at a time when sanctions are having an unprecedented impact on its economy, and the country faces political uncertainty with an election in March, its first since a 2009 vote that triggered countrywide demonstrations.
The West has imposed the increasingly tight sanctions over Iran’s nuclear programme, which Tehran insists is strictly peaceful while Western countries proclaim, using the same lies that it did against Iraq, that Iran aims to build an atomic wmd.
After years of sanctions that had little impact, the latest measures are the first that could have a serious effect on Iran’s oil trade, which make up 60 per cent of its economy.
New sanctions signed into law by US President Barack Obama on New Year’s Eve would cut off any financial institutions that work with Iran’s central bank from the US financial system, blocking the main path for payments for Iranian oil.
The EU is expected to impose new sanctions by the end of this month, possibly including a ban on oil imports.
Even Iran’s top trading partner China – which has refused to back new global sanctions against Iran – is demanding discounts to buy Iranian oil as Tehran’s options narrow. Beijing has cut its imports of Iranian crude by more than half for January and, paying premiums for crude from Russia and Vietnam to replace it.
Iran has responded to the tighter measures with increasingly determined warnings.
It frightened oil markets briefly when it announced last month it could prevent shipping through the Straight of Hormuz – a narrow shipping lane through which flows 40 per cent of the world’s oil trade – if sanctions hurt its own oil business.
It then held ten days of naval exercises in the Gulf, test firing long range missiles that could hit Israel or US bases in the Middle East. But Tuesday’s apparent threat to take action against the US military for sailing in international waters takes the aggressive rhetoric to a new level.
The new US sanctions law, if implemented fully, would make it impossible for many refineries to pay Iran for crude. It imposes measures gradually and allows Obama to offer temporary waivers to prevent an oil price shock.
The European Union is expected to consider new measures by the end of this month, possibly including a blockade. EU members such as such as crisis-hit Greece are still buyers of Iranian oil, which trades at a discount.
French Foreign Minister Alain Juppe said Paris wants new measures taken by January 30, when EU foreign ministers meet.
‘France . . . wants sanctions toughened and the president (Nicolas Sarkozy) has made two concrete proposals on that front – the first being the freezing of Iranian central bank assets, a tough measure, and the second an embargo on Iranian oil exports,’ Juppe told a French TV channel.
Juppe has tried to lead the pack agaunst Iran, claiming that he was certain that Iran aimed to produce a nuclear bomb.
Michael Mann, spokesman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, said member states would discuss the issue this week in the hope of reaching an agreement on new steps before the Jan. 30 meeting.
‘The ball is still in the Iranians’ court,’ he said.
Although China, India and other countries are unlikely to sign up to any oil embargo, they will be able to insist on deeper discounts, potentially reducing the income Tehran receives from oil.
Beijing has been driving a hard bargain. China, which bought 11 per cent of its oil from Iran during the first 11 months of last year, has cut its January purchase by about 285,000 barrels per day, more than half of the close to 550,000 bpd that it bought through a 2011 contract.
The impact of falling government income from oil sales can be felt on the streets in Iran in soaring prices for state subsidised goods and a falling rial currency.
Some exchange offices in Tehran said there was no trading taking place until further notice.
‘The rate is changing every second . . . We are not taking in any rials to change to dollars or any other foreign currency,’ said Hamid Bakshi in central Tehran.
Housewife Zohreh Ghobadi, waiting in a long line at a bank, said she was trying to withdraw her savings and change it into dollars.
Iranian authorities played down any link between the souring exchange rate and the imposition of the new sanctions.
‘The new American sanctions have not materialised yet,’ Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast told a news conference on Tuesday. ‘It will take a few months until these sanctions are fully implemented.’
The economic impact is being felt ahead of a nationwide parliamentary election on March 2, the first vote since a disputed 2009 presidential election that led to the worst unrest since Iran’s 1979 revolution.
Workers of the world must support Iran as it struggles to maintain its independence against the robbers of western Imperialism.
They must insist that Iran has every right to develop nuclear technology.
